First Community Financial Stock Performance

FMFP Stock  USD 14.58  0.06  0.41%   
First Community has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.44, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning First Community are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, First Community is likely to outperform the market. First Community Financial right now shows a risk of 1.91%. Please confirm First Community Financial jensen alpha, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and price action indicator , to decide if First Community Financial will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Community Financial are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively abnormal technical and fundamental indicators, First Community may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
  

First Community Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,323  in First Community Financial on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  135.00  from holding First Community Financial or generate 10.2% return on investment over 90 days. First Community Financial is currently generating 0.18% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.9146% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 17% of pink sheets are less volatile than First, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Community is expected to generate 2.5 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.5 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

First Community Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 14.58 90 days 14.58 
about 7.29
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Community to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.29 (This First Community Financial probability density function shows the probability of First Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Community Financial has a beta of -0.44. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding First Community are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, First Community Financial is likely to outperform the market. Additionally First Community Financial has an alpha of 0.177, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   First Community Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Community

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Community Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.5513.4615.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.8411.7516.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.1215.0416.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.0213.9914.97
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Community. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Community's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Community's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Community Financial.

First Community Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Community is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Community's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Community Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Community within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.44
σ
Overall volatility
0.55
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

First Community Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Community for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Community Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

First Community Fundamentals Growth

First Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Community, and First Community fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Pink Sheet performance.

About First Community Performance

Assessing First Community's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into First Community's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the First Community is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
First Community Financial Corporation operates as a bank holding company for Pennian Bank that provides various banking and financial services for residents and businesses in Pennsylvania. First Community Financial Corporation was founded in 1864 and is based in Mifflintown, Pennsylvania. First Community operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.

Things to note about First Community Financial performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about First Community for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for First Community Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating First Community's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate First Community's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing First Community's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether First Community's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining First Community's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating First Community's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of First Community's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of First Community's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into First Community's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating First Community's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact First Community's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for First Pink Sheet Analysis

When running First Community's price analysis, check to measure First Community's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Community is operating at the current time. Most of First Community's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Community's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Community's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Community to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.